Metric details
Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.
Analysis computed
best: could be chance (0.12)
best: clear pattern (0.66)
| # | Pilot | Out-climb | Core s | LeaveRate | Kept% | TopOut% | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kari Ellis | 71 (44 shared climbs) | 41 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.6 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 83 (20/24 circling bouts led to climbs) | 64 (mean on-course altitude 53% of band) | 0.19 (122 circles, 28% left) |
| 2 | Wally Arcidiacono | 65 (53 shared climbs) | 38 (24 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.2 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 90 (19/21 circling bouts led to climbs) | 53 (mean on-course altitude 51% of band) | 0.19 (180 circles, 41% left) |
| 3 | Gareth Carter | 63 (44 shared climbs) | 37 (20 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (16 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 88 (23/26 circling bouts led to climbs) | 61 (mean on-course altitude 54% of band) | 0.19 (166 circles, 36% left) |
| 4 | James Thompson | 70 (50 shared climbs) | 36 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.6 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 95 (19/20 circling bouts led to climbs) | 51 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band) | 0.21 (136 circles, 38% left) |
| 5 | Brian Webb | 59 (32 shared climbs) | 67 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.0 (17 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 89 (17/19 circling bouts led to climbs) | 68 (mean on-course altitude 60% of band) | 0.20 (176 circles, 60% left) |
| 6 | Geoff Wong | 73 (35 shared climbs) | 49 (21 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 92 (22/24 circling bouts led to climbs) | 70 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band) | 0.20 (186 circles, 59% left) |
| 7 | Jan Bennewitz | 76 (36 shared climbs) | 43 (23 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (11 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 95 (21/22 circling bouts led to climbs) | 74 (mean on-course altitude 73% of band) | 0.22 (142 circles, 71% left) |
| 8 | Paul Kimber | 69 (35 shared climbs) | 40 (16 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 85 (17/20 circling bouts led to climbs) | 58 (mean on-course altitude 48% of band) | 0.20 (156 circles, 3% left) |
| 9 | Zane Priebbenow | 72 (34 shared climbs) | 61 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.3 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 82 (18/22 circling bouts led to climbs) | 44 (mean on-course altitude 43% of band) | 0.17 (145 circles, 82% left) |
| 11 | Rafael Esquillaro | 65 (40 shared climbs) | 41 (15 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.3 (8 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 83 (10/12 circling bouts led to climbs) | 45 (mean on-course altitude 53% of band) | 0.18 (143 circles, 42% left) |
| 12 | Martin Joyce | 65 (48 shared climbs) | 36 (17 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.5 (12 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 78 (18/23 circling bouts led to climbs) | 54 (mean on-course altitude 55% of band) | 0.23 (149 circles, 10% left) |
| 13 | Frank Adler | 67 (49 shared climbs) | 38 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (13 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 72 (23/32 circling bouts led to climbs) | 37 (mean on-course altitude 40% of band) | 0.20 (182 circles, 60% left) |
| 14 | Richard Binstead | 72 (18 shared climbs) | 41 (7 climbs ≥ 60 s) | 1.4 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s) | 43 (3/7 circling bouts led to climbs) | 61 (mean on-course altitude 48% of band) | 0.18 (82 circles, 21% left) |
Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb
Measured in percent · no expected direction
How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.
Acceptance by hour
| Hour | Median accepted (%) | pilots |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 13 | |
| 80 | 13 | |
| 91 | 12 | |
| 25 | 8 |
Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).
How round and consistent the circles were
Measured in ratio · no expected direction
Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly.
Turn direction across the field: 44% left (1965 circles).
best: could be chance (0.31)
best: clear pattern (0.66)
best: clear pattern (0.74)
| # | Pilot | InGaggle% | Marked% | LeaveWin% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kari Ellis | 98 | 47 (18/38 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–1L (1 departure)) |
| 2 | Wally Arcidiacono | 91 | 36 (15/42 climbs marked) | 100 (1W–0L (1 departure)) |
| 3 | Gareth Carter | 99 | 36 (13/36 climbs marked) | 100 (1W–0L (1 departure)) |
| 4 | James Thompson | 84 | 62 (23/37 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–1L (1 departure)) |
| 5 | Brian Webb | 65 | 41 (9/22 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–2L (2 departures)) |
| 6 | Geoff Wong | 61 | 44 (14/32 climbs marked) | 50 (2W–2L (4 departures)) |
| 7 | Jan Bennewitz | 64 | 50 (14/28 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–2L (2 departures)) |
| 8 | Paul Kimber | 55 | 39 (15/38 climbs marked) | 67 (2W–1L (3 departures)) |
| 9 | Zane Priebbenow | 53 | 35 (15/43 climbs marked) | 33 (1W–2L (3 departures)) |
| 11 | Rafael Esquillaro | 62 | 70 (21/30 climbs marked) | 67 (2W–1L (3 departures)) |
| 12 | Martin Joyce | 40 | 45 (21/47 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–1L (1 departure)) |
| 13 | Frank Adler | 34 | 33 (17/51 climbs marked) | 0 (0W–2L (2 departures)) |
| 14 | Richard Binstead | 75 | 67 (6/9 climbs marked) | — |
Time spent flying with a gaggle
Measured in percent · no expected direction
Whether the pilot raced with other pilots or alone. The value is the share of their flying time after the start inside a detected gaggle, that is, clustered with one other racing pilot or more on the shared time grid. There is no expected direction. A gaggle increases the power to search for lift, but it also holds a pilot to its own speed. The sign of the correlation says which of the two occurred here.
27 gaggle episodes detected (peak size 13 pilots).
best: clear pattern (0.68)
| # | Pilot | StartDly | TimeLost | Behind | Spare m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kari Ellis | 77 | 57 | 0.0 | -661 |
| 2 | Wally Arcidiacono | 17 | 0 | 0.2 | -606 |
| 3 | Gareth Carter | 22 | 48 | 0.3 | -563 |
| 4 | James Thompson | 91 | 467 | 8.0 | -283 |
| 5 | Brian Webb | 58 | 390 | 9.8 | -33 |
| 6 | Geoff Wong | 95 | 649 | 13.0 | -329 |
| 7 | Jan Bennewitz | 114 | 630 | 14.2 | -216 |
| 8 | Paul Kimber | 100 | 686 | 14.8 | -284 |
| 9 | Zane Priebbenow | 103 | 1264 | 25.0 | -251 |
| 11 | Rafael Esquillaro | 50 | 221 | — | — |
| 12 | Martin Joyce | 108 | 1046 | — | — |
| 13 | Frank Adler | 102 | 1052 | — | — |
| 14 | Richard Binstead | 10 | 20 | — | — |
How long after the gate opened the pilot started
Measured in seconds · lower is better
Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.
Start execution
| Pilot | Delay | Alt m | Band % | Behind km |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kari Ellis | 1:17 | 1602 | 69 | 0.9 |
| Wally Arcidiacono | 0:17 | 1666 | 74 | 0.1 |
| Gareth Carter | 0:22 | 1625 | 70 | 0.2 |
| James Thompson | 1:31 | 1527 | 63 | 1.0 |
| Brian Webb | 0:58 | 1581 | 67 | 0.6 |
| Geoff Wong | 1:35 | 1635 | 71 | 1.0 |
| Jan Bennewitz | 1:54 | 1676 | 74 | 1.3 |
| Paul Kimber | 1:40 | 1487 | 60 | 1.1 |
| Zane Priebbenow | 1:43 | 1494 | 60 | 1.1 |
| Rafael Esquillaro | 0:50 | 1581 | 67 | 0.6 |
| Martin Joyce | 1:48 | 1483 | 59 | 1.2 |
| Frank Adler | 1:42 | 1478 | 59 | 1.1 |
| Richard Binstead | 0:10 | 1611 | 69 | 0.0 |
Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).
Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg
Measured in seconds · lower is better
For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.
Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner
| Pilot | SSS→she050 | she050→mur046 | mur046→cud034 | cud034→ESS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kari Ellis | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 | +0:00 |
| Wally Arcidiacono | -0:13 | +1:39 | +1:50 | -2:02 | +1:13 |
| Gareth Carter | +1:01 | -0:12 | +0:32 | -0:10 | +1:11 |
| James Thompson | +0:06 | +0:10 | +0:39 | +6:49 | +7:44 |
| Brian Webb | +2:11 | +8:04 | +2:03 | -2:09 | +10:08 |
| Geoff Wong | +0:10 | +5:10 | +14:24 | -6:59 | +12:45 |
| Jan Bennewitz | +6:50 | +4:39 | +0:20 | +1:48 | +13:37 |
| Paul Kimber | -1:16 | +2:04 | +17:26 | -3:48 | +14:26 |
| Zane Priebbenow | -1:04 | +0:44 | +27:03 | -2:06 | +24:38 |
| Rafael Esquillaro | +2:12 | +5:13 | -4:17 | — | +3:08 |
| Martin Joyce | +7:19 | +9:20 | +10:32 | — | +27:10 |
| Frank Adler | -0:07 | +18:28 | +7:49 | — | +26:10 |
| Richard Binstead | +1:20 | — | — | — | +1:20 |
Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.
The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.
Race time behind the leader at ESS
Measured in minutes · lower is better
At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.
Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint
| Pilot | ell094 | she050 | mur046 | cud034 | ell030 | ell030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kari Ellis | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Wally Arcidiacono | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Gareth Carter | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| James Thompson | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 5.4 |
| Brian Webb | 0.8 | 3.1 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 9.8 | 7.0 |
| Geoff Wong | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 10.6 |
| Jan Bennewitz | 1.7 | 8.7 | 12.2 | 12.4 | 14.2 | 12.2 |
| Paul Kimber | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 18.6 | 14.8 | 12.9 |
| Zane Priebbenow | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 27.1 | 25.0 | 22.4 |
| Rafael Esquillaro | 0.7 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 2.7 | — | — |
| Martin Joyce | 1.6 | 9.1 | 17.2 | 27.7 | — | — |
| Frank Adler | 1.5 | 1.5 | 18.9 | 26.6 | — | — |
| Richard Binstead | 0.0 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — |
The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.
Arriving at ESS with height to spare
Measured in metres · lower is better
Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.
ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median -284 m (n=9).